The games have been played up to conference championship weekend. The committee has spoken 5 times. On Sunday they speak for a 6th and final time for this 4-team format. The computer has churned out the answers — and the model likes Ohio State and not Alabama or Texas if one or more teams slip up this weekend.

I don’t like it, but the committee has over-liked Ohio State all these weeks, putting them at #1 when the model has them usually #3 or #4. Even last week after the UM defeat they only went to #6 and the computer has them at #5, so small negative bias, not enough to make up for weeks 1-4.

Right now the only path for Texas is Washington and Georgia winning, Michigan and FSU losing (about a 0.2% chance). The only path for Bama is Washington winning, Michigan and FSU losing (about 0.4% chance)

If the committee ends up agreeing with the computer I’ll be happy the committee did the right thing, but mad at the committee for being wrong weeks 1-5. Let’s see what happens. https://playoffpredictor.com