Need to fill out a bracket? Use my NCAA bracket simulator! Building on last year’s attempt to come up with a perfect bracket and win Warren Buffet’s $1B (by the way, he didn’t offer the prize again this year), I am launching http://ncaa_bracket_simulator.agafamily.com The underlying idea is to give each team a number of virtual “Ping-Pong balls” based on your expectation of how well they will play. Give Kentucky 100 balls and the #16 seed 1 ball – that means 100 out of each 101 times Kentucky will win that contest and 1 time in 101 Hampton will pull the upset.
Say on the other side of the bracket you give Cincinnati and Purdue 50 balls each- that means the Cincinnati / Purdue game is a 50/50 proposition, and the winner will beat Kentucky 50 out of 150 (50+100), or 1 out of every 3 times. Think that’s too much? Then give Kentucky a higher rating or drop Cincinnati down.
The computer will use the ratings you give and randomly simulate an entire tournament for you. Fancy graphics? Well, no. Not yet. Give it a try for your bracket: ncaa_bracket_simulator.agafamily.com